These bets are powered by BetQL’s advanced modeling, which crunches massive datasets on matchups, player trends, injuries, weather/altitude factors, and recent form to uncover real edges. Here’s deeper narrative breakdown on why they stand out for the AFC (Patriots at Broncos) and NFC (Rams at Seahawks) Championship games on Jan. 25, 2026.
Best Bets for the AFC Championship
Denver’s riding high as the No. 1 seed, but the narrative flips hard with Bo Nix’s season-ending ankle fracture from their divisional win over Buffalo—he’s out, surgery done, and Jarrett Stidham steps in as starter.
Stidham’s a capable backup but lacks Nix’s mobility and big-play spark, especially at altitude where timing matters. New England (perfect 8-0 on the road this season) brings a gritty, balanced attack led by Drake Maye, and the model sees them as live underdogs.
Pats ML below +180 — Huge value here; the model’s projections give New England a stronger chance than the line implies against a suddenly limited Broncos offense. Altitude’s tough, but Pats have prepped for it—no tricks needed, just execution.
Under 40.5 (+105 at BetMGM) — This screams low-scoring playoff football: Denver’s defense is stout, but Stidham caps explosiveness; Pats lean conservative/run-heavy on the road. Model forecasts a grind-it-out affair in the 30s total.
AFC Player Props
Rhamondre Stevenson under 73.5 rush + rec (-114) — Complementary back role limits his touches; Broncos’ run defense should bottle him around 45-50 total yards per model—perfect under spot.
TreVeyon Henderson overs (9.5 rushes +111, 35.5 rush yards -116) — Pats will control tempo with the run game to keep Stidham off the field and exploit Denver’s front without Nix’s dual-threat element. Model projects Henderson heavily involved (14 carries, 105+ yards, TD potential, plus receiving), making these overs strong plays in a probable ball-control script.
All these align with BetQL’s data-driven projections giving clear probabilistic edges. Lines can move fast in championship week, so lock in now. Click the link above or below to sign up for BetQL (grab that 15% off promo on your subscription) and dive into the full model breakdowns. Let’s turn these into winners!
First & Jenn 
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