After the NFL dropped the 2024-25 season schedule, sportsbooks immediately got busy looking at how each team will do in four months. It might be too soon to judge what teams will sink or swim, but it is interesting to see betting sites make judgements about what the upcoming season will look like.
Take a look at the over/under win totals for the upcoming season. You can find these bets and more on the BetMGM Sportsbook.
Arizona Cardinals
Strength of Schedule: .488
Over/Under: 6.5 (-150, +125)
Pick: Under
Why: I don’t have faith in Johnathan Gannon as a head coach, and I think the Cardinals are going to continue to suffer because of it. Last season, they finished 4-13. Though that can be attributed to roster changes and injuries, they will have yet to play with one cohesive team. This seems like a rebuild situation, so I’m not expecting more than six wins from Arizona.
Atlanta Falcons
Strength of Schedule: .453
Over/Under: 9.5 (-140, +115)
Pick: Under
Why: The Falcons seem to show strong promise with their younger players stepping up. My issues with the Falcons is that their 7-10 last season was because of inconsistencies on both sides of the ball. They seem to be in their rebuilding era, or at least should be, so I don’t expect them to hit double digit wins this season.
Baltimore Ravens
Strength of Schedule: .536
Over/Under: 11.5 (+115, -140)
Pick: Over
Why: The Ravens had a dominant performance last season with a 13-4 record. Lamar Jackson had an outstanding season, playing at an MVP level and leading the Ravens to the top of the AFC North and AFC Conference for the first time in a long time. Their defense was one of the best in the league, contributing significantly to their deep playoff run, where they were one of the favorites.
Buffalo Bills
Strength of Schedule: .516
Over/Under: 10.5 (+100, -120)
Pick: Over
Why: The Bills finished 11-6 and continue to be a strong contender in the AFC, which is why I think taking the over 10.5 wins. My only problem lies in the fact that the Bills continue to struggle from inconsistent performances, particularly in the latter half of the season. Key injuries impacted their ability to secure a higher seed in the playoffs, which ultimately led to an early playoff exit anyway.
Carolina Panthers
Strength of Schedule: .467
Over/Under: 4.5 (-140, +115)
Pick: Over
Why: The Panthers are clearly in their rebuilding era, focusing on developing their younger roster. After finishing 2-15, I think the Panthers have to figure out a little more, but I think they can manage to get over 4.5 wins due to their easy schedule. This number is a little low in my opinion considering the Panthers weren’t necessarily a terrible team.
Chicago Bears
Strength of Schedule: .467
Over/Under: 8.5 (-125, +10)
Pick: Over
Why: I thought the Bears had it figured out last season, and they had glimmers of hope here and there with their 7-10 record. The Bears seem to currently focus on developing young talent and on the brink of ending their rebuilding era. With gaining some notable guys in the Draft, like Caleb Williams, I think the Bears are a team to be optimistic in. They showed flashes of potential married with inconsistency and injuries hampering their progress.
Cincinnati Bengals
Strength of Schedule: .502
Over/Under: 10.5 (-125, +105)
Pick: Over
Why: The Bengals had kind of an off season, finishing with a 9-8 record. Joe Burrow led the Bengals to several impressive victories, but the team faced tough competition in their division. Key injuries and a lack of defensive consistency hampered their playoff run. One of those key injuries was Burrow, which was a blow to the team.
Cleveland Browns
Strength of Schedule: .547
Over/Under: 8.5 (-125, +105)
Pick: Over
Why: Despite having five different quarterbacks in one season, the Browns finished with an 11-6 record. I think this really proves that the Browns have a certain level of stability that can help them beat any team. The Browns managed to make the playoffs, but couldn’t keep up against the Houston Texans. Regardless, the Browns are coming back with fire and easily are getting more than 8.5 wins.
Dallas Cowboys
Strength of Schedule: .505
Over/Under: 10.5 (+105, -125)
Pick: Under
Why: Once again, the Dallas Cowboys had themselves a great season. The Cowboys’ offense, led by Dak Prescott, was one of the highest-scoring units in the league. Their defense, particularly the pass rush, was also a strength. They made the playoffs but didn’t last long, per usual. They finished with a 12-5 record, but with their strength of schedule, I’m unsure if they make it over 10 wins, but it is doable.
Denver Broncos
Strength of Schedule: .495
Over/Under: 5.5 (-145, +120)
Pick: Over
Why: The Broncos showed major improvement under new head coach Sean Payton. I as disappointed with them falling short of the playoffs because they have genuine potential. Their defense was solid, but offensive struggles, at times, at quarterback, were very evident. The Broncos finished with an 8-9 record.
Detroit Lions
Strength of Schedule: .509
Over/Under: 10.5 (-115, -105)
Pick: Over
Why: The Detroit Lions finally had “the season” they needed to have to get their confidence back. After finishing 12-5 and taking the NFC North title for the first time in many years, the Lions were able to taste the playoffs – and it won’t be their last time. They are a balanced team with strong defensive talent and speedy offensive talent. Taking the over here is a no-brainer.
Green Bay Packers
Strength of Schedule: .526
Over/Under: 10.5 (+130, -160)
Pick: Under
Why: The Packers had a very competitive season with Jordan Love taking over at quarterback. They made the playoffs, showing some glimmer of hope and growth in the coming years with the young roster. The Packers finished 9-8 but I’m not sure they’re going to get much better than that right now.
Houston Texans
Strength of Schedule: .526
Over/Under: 9.5 (-145, +120)
Pick: Under
Why: The Texans finished 10-7 and in the playoffs after coming into last season with low expectations. The Texans also managed to take the AFC South title, showing a lot of promise to the team. This upcoming season, I’m not too sure how I feel about the Texans. I think 9.5 is a hard number because I would think the Texans realistically get nine wins with their harsh schedule.
Indianapolis Colts
Strength of Schedule: .491
Over/Under: 8.5 (+115, -140)
Pick: Under
Why: The Colts finished with a 9-8 record. Running back Jonathan Taylor had another stellar season, but the Colts faced challenges with consistency at the quarterback position. They were in contention for a playoff spot but ultimately fell short. Their strong running game and solid defense give them a foundation to build on, but I don’t think it’ll be enough to get over 8.5 wins.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Strength of Schedule: .512
Over/Under: 8.5 (-120, +100)
Pick: Over
Why: The Jaguars continue to develop, making significant improvement with Trevor Lawrence continuing to get better as a quarterback. They were competitive in most games and managed to clinch a playoff spot, proving that their young core provides hope for the future after finishing with a 9-8 record. They’re taking that fire they created last season and keeping it going this season, easily getting over
Kansas City Chiefs
Strength of Schedule: .502
Over/Under: 11.5 (-120, +100)
Pick: Over
Why: The Chiefs have no concerns. Once again, Patrick Mahomes led the Chiefs to a successful season and Super Bowl win. They have one of the most potent offenses in the league and a defense that made key stops and big plays. Finishing 11-6, they’re definitely going to be even better next season.
Las Vegas Raiders
Strength of Schedule: .512
Over/Under: 6.5 (-145, +120)
Pick: Over
Why: The Raiders improved from their previous season with an 8-9 record. Unfortunately, the Raiders were eliminated from playoff contention for the second year. I think people should pay more attention to the Raiders, they’re slowing figuring things out. I’m calling it now, they will get over 6.5 wins.
Los Angeles Chargers
Strength of Schedule: .478
Over/Under: 8.5 (-150, +125)
Pick: Under
Why: The Chargers failed to improve on their 10-7 record from the previous season. After already struggling with a 5-7 start, the Chargers suffered a devastating blow when they lost franchise quarterback, Justin Herbert with a broken finger. With their 5-12 record, I’m not feeling confident in this team getting above 8.5 wins.
Los Angeles Rams
Strength of Schedule: .505
Over/Under: 8.5 (-125, +105)
Pick: Under
Why: Truthfully, I like this number on the under. Last season, they finished 8-9.Last season, they finished 8-9. I think the Rams have potential to do good this upcoming season, but a combination of last season’s injuries and inconsistencies and defensive lineman Aaron Donald retiring, it seems easy to doubt this team. Despite the issues, the Rams showed potential with their younger players stepping up.
Miami Dolphins
Strength of Schedule: .488
Over/Under: 9.5 (-145, +120)
Pick: Over
Why: The Dolphins came out of nowhere with explosive offensive and defensive talent. The team showcased a dynamic duo of an offensive led by Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill, making them super exciting to watch. After finishing 11-6, the Dolphins late-season run gave fans hope for the future.
Minnesota Vikings
Strength of Schedule: .502
Over/Under: 6.5 (-150, +125)
Pick: Over
Why: The Vikings had a 7-10 record which attributed to their tough season. The team struggled with defensive issues despite the strong offensive performances from players like Justin Jefferson. They were competitive in many games but fell short in key moments, especially in the end zone. With Kirk Cousins gone, I am closely watching out the Vikings do this season, but I do see them getting over 6.5 wins.
New England Patriots
Strength of Schedule: .512
Over/Under: 4.5 (-160, +130)
Pick: Over
Why: Giving the 4-13 Patriots a low over/under is vile – but I love it. The Patriots had a rebuilding season, with young players getting significant playing time under Bill Belichick’s guidance. The team struggled offensively without a clear leader at quarterback, which led to their worst record in recent years. The 4.5 is silly, I think the Patriots are more than capable of getting more wins.
New Orleans Saints
Strength of Schedule: .453
Over/Under: 7.5 (-120, +100)
Pick: Over
Why: Saints’ quarterback Derek Carr proved to be a stable teammate to make the Saints finish with an okay record at 9-8. The Saints had a strong performance last season which led to playoff contention. The Saints are really an intriguing team because unlike a lot of NFL teams, the Saints haven’t really struggled with inconsistencies. Their balanced team was definitely underrated last season.
New York Giants
Strength of Schedule: .516
Over/Under: 6.5 (+110, -130)
Pick: Under
Why: The Giants showed promise last season, regardless of the 6-11 record. They showed improvement with a more competitive team under head coach Brian Daboll. Their downfall lied in injuries and inconsistency that prevented them from making a playoff push. Now with key players like Saquon Barkley gone, the Giants don’t look so hot, but the under does.
New York Jets
Strength of Schedule: .505
Over/Under: 9.5 (-120, +100)
Pick: Under
Why: Despite getting Aaron Rodgers and seeing him play not even a full game, the Jets faced significant challenges due to injuries and an underperforming offensive line. While their defense showed moments of brilliance, the overall inconsistency kept them from reaching their potential. I’m not super confident in the Jets coming into this season, so I think the under 9.5 wins is a good bet. The Jets finished with a 7-10 record.
Philadelphia Eagles
Strength of Schedule: .491
Over/Under: 10.5 (+100, -120)
Pick: Over
Why: The Eagles had inarguably the most frustrating season in NFL history. Coming off of a Super Bowl appearance, the Eagles started off hot. Then they fell off a little bit but got back to it. Then all of the sudden, something happened and the Eagles crumbled mid-season. The Eagles are still in their A-Game, proving this with their 11-6 record. Since their schedule is a lot easier, they should have no problem going over 10.5 wins.=
Pittsburgh Steelers
Strength of Schedule: .533
Over/Under: 8.5 (-120, +100)
Pick: Over
Why: The Steelers showed resilience last season, finishing with a 10-7 record. Inconsistent quarterback play and an underperforming offensive line proved to be a major issue, leading to their quarterback, Kenny Pickett, heading east to Philadelphia. This 8.5 number is easily going to go over, though.
San Francisco 49ers
Strength of Schedule: .505
Over/Under: 11.5 (+105, -115)
Pick: Over
Why: This team is fierce and is coming for blood. After the downfall in the season prior by not making the Super Bowl, the 49ers made it their mission to get it right in the 2023-24 season. The 49ers finished 13-4 with a dominant season with a strong defense to show for it. The team made it to the Super Bowl, but lost by three points, 25-22. I don’t see the 49ers slowing down anytime soon.
Seattle Seahawks
Strength of Schedule: .488
Over/Under: 8.5 (-120, +100)
Pick: Over
Why: The Seahawks had some sort of resurgence last season, led by quarterback Geno Smith who had a passer rating of 92.1. The Seahawks are a team you can be cautiously optimistic about. They finished last season with a 9-8 record, and it’ll probably be easier for them to hit this over this year, especially with an easier schedule.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Strength of Schedule: .478
Over/Under: 7.5 (-145, +120)
Pick: Over
Why: The Buccaneers finished last season with a 9-8 record, getting over their struggles in the post-Tom Brady era. There’s not much to say about the Buccaneers, they seem to be fixing issues at quarterback, but an underperforming offense and a defense couldn’t carry the team. That being said, I think they reevaluate in the offseason and come back a little stronger. I don’t think the Bucs are a Super Bowl team, but I do think they’re capable of getting over 7.5 wins.
Tennessee Titans
Strength of Schedule: .491
Over/Under: 6.5 (+115, -140)
Pick: Over
Why: The Titans finished with a 6-11 record. They had a difficult season with numerous injuries, particularly to key players like Derrick Henry. Their offense struggled to find a rhythm, and their defense couldn’t get things going, leading to a disappointing record. Despite the issues, I think the Titans come back next season and get over 6.5 wins.
Washington Commanders
Strength of Schedule: .502
Over/Under: 6.5 (-130, +110)
Pick: Over
Why: The Commanders continue to struggle and show inconsistencies often. Of course, there’s a lot going on in the office, but that shouldn’t affect the players that much to put up a 4-13 record. There were numerous roster changes and instability at the quarterback position. Their defense showed potential, but offensive struggles were a recurring issue.
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